The Boxscore Geeks Show: Gravity Pulls Down Our Over/Under

It's the offseason but the Boxscore Geeks show is back! We talk Reddit threads on three-point shooting and over/under totals for every single NBA team. Tune in!

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Video Show


Show Notes

It's the offseason, so we're discussing a Reddit thread discussing a podcast discussing the importance of three-point shooting. Yes, this is what it's come to.

Side note, if you're a fan of the show "The Good Place" (and why wouldn't you be?), they have a "fantastic podcast that's worth checking out.

Alright, "preseason prediction time!", of course, we do this with little research and gut check, and I reserve the right to just pass on some teams. Here's what we thought (or rather what Dre thought. I'd be shocked if Patrick doesn't disagree with some of these takes.

Also, the site Hispano NBA is fantastic if you want a comprehensive list of offseason transactions.

Atlanta Hawks

  • 23.5 over/under
  • We don't touch this bet!

Meh. Lottery teams in the 20 win range that are accurately measured aren't worth touching in these bets.

Boston Celtics

  • 58 over/under
  • We don't touch this bet!

We lean the under, which means you should bet the over!

Brooklyn Nets

  • 32.5 over/under
  • We don't touch this bet!

We like the over, but don't trust the team to make the right calls.

Charlotte Hornets

  • 35.5 over/under
  • We don't touch this bet!

A lot can go wrong, and they lost Dwight Howard.

Chicago Bulls

  • 29 over/under
  • We don't touch this bet!

I say well placed; Brian says he likes the under.

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • 30.5 over/under
  • We don't touch this bet!

Yeah, this team without Bron is terrible.

Dallas Mavericks

  • 34.5 over/under
  • We don't touch this bet!

We like the over, still don't want to touch it.

Denver Nuggets

  • 47.5 over/under

Take the over! Take the over! Take the over!

Detroit Pistons

  • 38 over/under

It seems the like over is okay, right?

Golden State Warriors

  • 63.5 over/under
  • We don't touch this bet!

Well placed, we can see them blow this away or miss it.

Houston Rockets

  • 56 over/under
  • We don't touch this bet!

We like the over, but Melo is the big wrench. We think the Rockets will pull the plug on him quickly.

Indiana Pacers

  • 47.5 over/under

Easy over! At this point in the show I hadn't found the fantastic transactions list Brian suggested. They picked up Tyreke Evans and Kyle O'Quinn and hit 47 wins last season? Ship it!

Los Angeles Clippers

  • 36 over/under

We like the under. They won't make the playoffs and tanking teams tend to be worse than you'd think.

Los Angeles Lakers

  • 49.5 over/under
  • We don't touch this bet!

A high variance team that can easily hit the over and the under? We pass.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • 35.5 over/under

Pass, haven't looked at the players close enough.

Miami Heat

  • 41.5 over/under
  • We don't touch this bet!

They hit the over last season. We like the over.

Milwaukee Bucks

  • 47 over/under
  • We don't touch this bet!

Well placed. So sad to waste Giannis' prime.

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • 45.5 over/under

They hit the over last season with Jimmy Butler injured. This feels like easy over.

New Orleans Pelicans

  • 45.5 over/under
  • We don't touch this bet!

Well placed!

New York Knicks

  • 30 over/under

Take the under!

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • 49.5 over/under

Take the over! No Melo plus healthy Roberson easily net them more than two games.

Orlando Magic

  • 31 over/under

I mean, feels like the under is the right move here.

Philadelphia 76ers

  • 53.5 over/under
  • We don't touch this bet!

We like the over, but it relies on health, so we don't touch it.

Phoenix Suns

  • 29.5 over/under
  • We don't touch this bet!

I think the under is right. But we hate messing with lottery teams.

Portland Trail Blazers

  • 42 over/under

I like the over; they hit 49 last season.

Sacramento Kings

  • 25.5 over/under

They hit the over last season, so I like it. But tanking teams are hard to predict.

San Antonio Spurs

  • 45 over/under

It hurts to admit the Spurs improved with the loss of Kawhi Leonard. That said, he didn't play last season. The Spurs won more games than this last season. Brian notes a few players are worth worrying about (Rudy Gay and LaMarcus Aldridge), that said I take the over and don't look back!

Toronto Raptors

  • 55 over/under

Even if Kawhi never suits up, this team hits that. Easy over. Next.

Utah Jazz

  • 49 over/under

Another easy one. They were a 48 win team last season with the NBA's best big man missing significant minutes. Also, expect Donovan Mitchell to improve, and the Jazz should easily be a 50 win team.

Washington Wizards

  • 44.5 over/under

Another over? Yup! This team added Dwight Howard, who's stayed productive. John Wall had an off year last season. They should easily pick up a few wins.

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