2017 Mens NCAA numbers

As many of you know, I am not a huge consumer of NCAA basketball. I tend to find out who the bast draft prospects are this time of year (right before the draft), and usually by consulting friends and colleagues such as David Berri or Arturo Galletti.I know not all of you share my dispassion, however, and given that the draft is mere hours away, I thought I'd try to get some numbers up on the site. Dr. Berri was kind enough to offer me his spreadsheet of numbers, and I've put them up here.

You can also get at them any time by clicking on the NCAA tab above.

My key takeaways are:

Senioritis. There are a lot of seniors at the top in wins produced. This doesn't necessarily mean that seniors are the best prospects. Remember that these are numbers about who produced the most wins, not about NBA potential (although the two are of course related). Wins produced numbers are adjusted for position, but not for age. All things being equal, you should expect seniors to outperform underclassmen because they're at an age where the extra couple of years can make big differences in size and strength, and of course, by definition, the seniors have more experience playing against tougher competition than the underclassmen.

TL;DR: It's not a ranked lists of prospects, it's a ranked list of who produced the most wins. It's up to the scouts and coaches (and you, as the virtual GM playing along with your favorite team) to do the homework about the "why" of it all.

Deandre Ayton. Is he worth the hype? I'm often pretty skeptical of "consensus" #1 picks, but he is the highest ranked freshman in wins produced, which is a pretty promising sign.

Small Schools. Guys from small schools in "tier 2" conferences always go later in the draft than they should. Who on this list will continue that tradition?

As usual, there is not much overlap between the top players on this list, and the top players on most mock draft boards. Does that surprise you?