If you are looking to recap, the previous portfolio reports are here:
- The December Report
- The November Report
- The January Report
- The February Report
- The Not-Quite-Penultimate Report
After yesterday's games, the Cavs clinched the Central division, thus winning that bet, and the Phoenix Suns clinched the West's Idiotic Management of the Year award, thus losing that bet (at this point I should shout-out to Arturo, who before the season started told me that we should put some of that money into the Toronto bet, since it's "the surest bet on the board". If only I'd listened....).
So here's where we stand:
| The Boxscore Geeks 2014/15 Portfolio's Open Bets | |||||||
| Team | Bet | W/L | $ | Magic | EV(L) | EV(T) | EV(W) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAS | UNDER 48 | 45-33 (0.577) | $375 | L1(4) | $0 | $375 | $716.25 |
| SAC | OVER 30 | 27-51 (0.346) | $750 | W3(4) | $0 | $750 | $1432.5 |
| DAL | UNDER 49.5 | 47-31 (0.603) | $375 | L1(4) | $0 | n/a | $716.25 |
| SAS | WIN SOUTHWEST | 53-26 (0.671) | $375 | -4 | $0 | n/a | $600.0 |
| Initial investment | Current Portfolio Worth | Current ROI | Maximum Possible Worth |
|---|---|---|---|
| $7500 | $6601 | -12% | $10066.5 |
There was also an important clerical error in the reports: we bet $150, not $75, on Atlanta, so the return on that bet was $900, not $450. That was like finding money in my pocket! Ok, so it was more like finding another $75 bet on Atlanta in my pocket!
So the portfolio's current worth is $6601. Which means that if we were a mutual fund, we'd be down 12%. But I feel good about Dallas and Washington each losing one, which brings us to even. I feel...MEH...about Washington losing another one, which puts us in the black. And I feel surprisingly optimistic about the Spurs running the table and Memphis finding a way to lose one.
Sacramento, though? Fuck those guys. Even with 2 games against the Lakers, I'm not going to hope for this one. I cannot count the number of times I checked League Pass this year to see the Kings up 15 or more, only to wake up the next morning to a Kings loss. Fool me, like, fifty times, shame on me....
Friday's games are full of drama for this portfolio: San Antonio plays Houston, Washington plays Brooklyn, Dallas plays in Denver, and Memphis plays in Utah. Get out your popcorn!