Nba nerd

Sometimes, I'm Right When I Wish I Wasn't

This was me, 2.5 years ago:

So, let's be frank: barring injury or huge dropoffs in production, there is nearly zero chance that Love exercises that option (regardless of whether he wants to remain a Timberwolf, since he'd make more money by opting out and signing a new contract), so this was a three-year extension. It's truly hard to imagine how a management team could screw up while signing the team's best player, but somehow, Taylor and/or Kahn managed to do it.

And:

Basically, Taylor tried to play hardball with Kevin Love and got swindled in a huge way. And all for "future flexibility". Wait, so you didn't want to lock up a franchise player so that you could later, maybe...lock up...a...different...franchise player? Yeah, Mr. Kahn (Taylor), there's a reason I keep this GIF handy for my Timberwolves posts, because this is your management philosophy in a ****ing nutshell:

This was Glen Taylor, yesterday:

Taylor said he underestimated Love's ability to develop a lethal offensive game. But the reason Taylor didn't push for the five-year max, he said, was heath concerns about Love.

"I think Kevin, his offensive skills got better than I think we estimated. The only thing that I still have a question mark about will be his health. I had that concern then, I still have that concern and I think Cleveland should have that concern, too," Taylor said. "If they sign him to a five-year contract like they're thinking about, I mean that's a big contract in a guy that's had sometimes where he's missed games."

For the record, the decision point Glen is talking about is the contract extension. He's saying that in late 2011, after Love had spent the entire season in 2010/11 averaging 20 & 15 with 59.3% true shooting (and going to the line about 10 times per 48), they didn't think Love had a "lethal offensive game", nor did they think he could develop one. The 2010/11 season, by the way, is still his best season offensively (although last year came very close). He didn't get better in the next few seasons; he just got more minutes and took more shots.

If you are ever wondering why free agents don't come to Minnesota, don't look to the weather. It gets cold in Chicago, New York, Boston, and...Cleveland. It's not the weather. It's the incompetent organization.

Great self-aggrandizing post: "Sometimes I'm Right When I Wish I Wasn't". Should we also dig up every time you've been wrong in the past 2.5 years and make a post about it? Maybe title it "Often I'm Wrong When I Wish I Wasn't"?
I still think Minnesota can get free agents. Money, money, money. Especially if Lebron can go to the slave owner Dan Gilbert, players could play for Sterling, even though they said they didn't know, and other owners that feel betrayed by their possessions that dare to leave them.
I think it is some revisionist history to say that at the end of 2011 season that the Wolves had valid injury concerns for Love. At the start of 2009 he broke his hand by being hit by a teammate's elbow. It should have seemed like a freak injury at that point and Love went on play lots of games in 2009 - 2010, and then in 2010 - 2011. There was a groin injury at the end of 2011 and he missed a few games. But at that point he doesn't seem particularly injury prone.
the comments of the wolves owner is just too funny love has played 76% of 476 possible regular season games so to cal that injury prone is just ludacris
Typicalfratmove,
Welcome to the BoxscoreGeeks! We love new fans. I say this as you'd be aware we're typically the first to point out when our predictions are off (which they often are, as predictions are hard)
Typicalfratmove,

You're very mad. You must be a timberwolves fan. I sympathize; Until recently, so was I.

Have you read my stuff? I am pretty rigorous about admitting when I am wrong (famous examples: I thought Jae Crowder was a sure star, Andre Drummond was a sure bust, and last year's Jazz were a 40-win team).

So the thing is, since I admit when I am wrong a lot, I feel no shame or guilt when I point out how I was right that one time. Which, by the way, does happen quite a bit too.

The thing is, self-aggrandizement goes two ways. We aren't going to play the game where the readers are always right, and they get to rub our noses in the Indiana Pacers all year, but we cannot mention the Knicks.
When you are a high profile team that's an attractive free agent destination like the Timberwolves you have to be really, really careful with who you give a max contract to; you can't be giving out max contracts to utterly dominant big men who might get injured when there are all those other utterly dominant big men who never get injured (such as: ) that you can sign instead.

Besides, just because you can give a guy the max doesn't mean you should. If they hadn't given KLove that huge contract they might have been able to re-sign Michael Beasley, and would have had the money left over to nearly cover all of Darko Milicic AND J.J. Barea's salaries as well. You really have to look at all your options and understand your opportunity costs before you commit to a course of action.
BPS, i almost choked on some food as i read that first paragraph
regarding the pacers prediction last season i think the bsg website cold be bashed for that but not completely and the reason is when they made a season preview most of the pacers fans only looked at the projected win of 39 games (which the pacers highly exceeded) but what they miss out on is the subtitle written and that is "the overreaction" so while the prediction was way off the evaluation of the team was 85-90% spot on. sure they won 56 games but miami was just 2 games behind and remember dwade only played some 50+ games last season it's true that ray ray is still a solid player but a 75% dwade is still better than a 38 year old rayray (.193 for dwade, .130 for rayray) then regarding their 56 wins pacers record against the west was 17-12 uhm it's a positive record but that is a huge disappointment if we compare it to their record against the almost d-league level east conference ( 39-14).

speaking of point differential the pacers had 4.4 which was 7th best in the league oh and speaking of teams who had the 7th best point differential, in the past 20 years since 1994 not only did none of those teams won a title but also only 2 went to the finals (04 lakes, 07 cavs both teams got destroyed) 4 went to the cf, 3 went to the 2nd round and 10 only lasted until the 1st round.

"wait!" said the pacers fans "none of those point differential and only 17-12 record against the west matters im sure our mvp paul george would do a superman impression in the playoffs and our pacers team will go to the finals and probably become the champions" oh really? what happened next? a 7 game series against an 8th seed al horford less hawks plus only a 1 point differential, a 6 game series 2,17 differential against a wizards team that gives a lot of free throws to their opponents but also below league average in defending shots, finally against the then 2 time defending champions heat they got destroyed losing in games and a -6.5 point differential.

the post written by me above is not meant to say that wins produce is a perfect metric it is not however just like ian levy said the value of a metric is tied on what questions they could potentially answer so criticizing wp just because it did not do well in true hoop statgeek smackdown (although dberri once won it) and other kinds of betting contest does not make wp metric useless since it is useful in the narrative aspect (it tells me how on earth did the "starless" pistons beat the 4 hall of famer lakers) evaluative (it tells me how valuable dikembe mutombo had on the teams he joined in his career) and descriptive (i.e. allen iverson it tells me what aspects he is bad at
like shooting efficienc and being turnover prone).
While it was incredibly tongue in cheek I'm kind of curious now about how many franchise-quality bigs have managed to avoid missing any playing time due to serious injury early in their careers.

Kevin Garnett managed to avoid injury throughout his Minnesota days, to the best of my knowledge, and Dirk has been a pretty remarkable ironman; anyone else? Centers seem like they get banged up pretty consistently and most players have a freak injury happen at some point.

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