The Suns: The Tank

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The Numbers

  • Average Seed
    11
  • 📉 Pessimist
    20.7 wins
  • Realist
    30.9 wins
  • 📈 Optimist
    41.1 wins
First Seed
 
0.1%
Division
 
1.1%
Top 4
 
1.2%
👍 Over (21.5)
👎 Under (21.5)
 
18.9%
🎀 Playoffs
 
10.9%

There are no accounting issues, no trading issues, no reserve issues, no previously unknown problem issues.

Kenneth Lay, while acting CEO of Enron

The Brief

In response to the Suns taking the season off from competitive basketball, I'm about to put as much effort into this review as they are into this season.

The Story

Steve Kerr once famously referred to a trade he made as one of the worst in NBA history. Much like the coming season, you can lay the blame for that trade at the feet of their terrible owner Robert Sarver.

Last Year

  • Actual Wins: 25
  • Expected Wins: 23.6
  • Lucky Wins: 1.3

 

Player Minutes Age WP48 Wins
Goran Dragic 2581 27 .147 7.9
Luis Scola 2184 33 .029 1.3
Jared Dudley 2170 28 .124 5.6
P.J. Tucker 1910 28 .184 7.3
Marcin Gortat 1876 29 .097 3.8
Markieff Morris 1837 24 .001 0
Michael Beasley 1554 25 -.114 -3.7
Shannon Brown 1402 28 .032 .9
Jermaine O'Neal 1029 35 .061 1.3
Wesley Johnson 953 26 -.035 -.7
Sebastian Telfair 795 28 .003 .1
Kendall Marshall 702 22 .020 .3
Marcus Morris 370 24 -.011 -.3
Hamed Haddadi 235 28 .036 .2
Diante Garrett 149 25 -.036 -.1
Luke Zeller 58 26 -.282 -.3

 

Indicates that the player is no longer with the team.

  • 23.6 total Wins Produced
  • 7 players leaving
    (8834 minutes, 3.8 wins)

This team was excruciatingly terrible last year.

This Year

 

  • Projected Wins: 30.9
  • Conference Rank: 11
  • % Playoffs: 10.9

 

Player Position Minutes Age WP48 Wins
Goran Dragic 1.1 2710 27 .126 7.1
Marcin Gortat 5.0 2635 29 .147 8.1
Eric Bledsoe 1.3 2453 24 .121 6.2
P.J. Tucker 2.1 2030 28 .178 7.5
Markieff Morris 4.0 1848 24 .002 .1
Alex Len 5.0 1573 20 .016 .5
Marcus Morris 3.9 1378 24 -.017 -.5
Archie Goodwin 2.0 1202 19 .030 .8
Gerald Green 2.6 983 28 .020 .4
Kendall Marshall 1.3 797 22 .043 .7
Shannon Brown 2.3 673 28 .028 .4
Malcolm Lee 2.0 396 23 .093 .8
Channing Frye 4.3 280 30 .016 .1
Dionte Christmas 1.0 192 27 .056 .2

 

Indicates that the player is new to the team.

  • 📅 32.0 WP last year
    by these players
  • 🔀 5.3 WP (roster changes)
  • 3.5 WP (age/experience)

It doesn't matter who's on this team now. They're not even trying to win.

The Wrap

You're still reading? Fine, here's the Suns updated roster, after the Gortat trade:

Player Team Age Simple Pos Minutes WP48 Wins
Goran Dragic PHO 27 1 33.9 0.126 7.3
Eric Bledsoe PHO 24 1 30.7 0.121 6.4
P.J. Tucker PHO 28 2 28.0 0.178 8.5
Markieff Morris PHO 24 4 25.4 0.002 0.1
Alex Len PHO 20 5 24.5 0.016 0.7
Marcus Morris PHO 24 4 19.7 -0.017 -0.6
Miles Plumlee PHO 25 5 17.2 -0.014 -0.4
Archie Goodwin PHO 19 2 15.0 0.030 0.8
Emeka Okafor PHO 31 5 12.3 0.134 2.8
Gerald Green PHO 28 3 10.0 0.020 0.3
Ishmael Smith PHO 25 1 8.4 0.012 0.2
Channing Frye PHO 30 4 6.6 0.016 0.2
Dionte Christmas PHO 27 1 4.9 0.055 0.5
Viacheslav Kravtsov PHO 26 5 3.5 0.098 0.6
Simple Wins 27.3

On the plus side, they all get to live in Phoenix!

Cool story bro.

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